Author: Xutong Wang; Remy F Pasco; Zhanwei Du; Michaela Petty; Spencer J Fox; Alison P Galvani; Michael Pignone; S. Claiborne Johnston; Lauren Ancel Meyers
Title: Impact of Social Distancing Measures on COVID-19 Healthcare Demand in Central Texas Document date: 2020_4_22
ID: n0nch8he_53
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . Under the naive scenario that school closures and social distancing measures are lifted entirely on the first day of the 2020-2021 academic year (August 18) [33] , the pace and extent of COVID-19 transmission in the fall would depend on how many people were infected (and thereby immunized) during the spring and summer (Fig. 1) . As cumulative incidence approaches the he.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . Under the naive scenario that school closures and social distancing measures are lifted entirely on the first day of the 2020-2021 academic year (August 18) [33] , the pace and extent of COVID-19 transmission in the fall would depend on how many people were infected (and thereby immunized) during the spring and summer (Fig. 1) . As cumulative incidence approaches the herd immunity threshold of roughly 55% of the population, the reproduction number ( R 0 ) declines. Once this 55% threshold is surpassed, the reproduction number falls below one and the virus would be unable to spread widely, . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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