COVID-19 pandemic in the African continent: forecasts of cumulative cases, new infections, and mortality

Yohannes Kinfu; Uzma Alam; Tom Achoki

is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint The first COVID-19 case in Africa was reported on February 14, 2020 (2, 3). Two months after the first COVID-19 cases were reported in the region, the number of deaths at the end of April is expected to reach over 3,000 deaths (CI 95% of 537 to 18,482). Most deaths will be recorded in the Northern Africa sub-region, which, as reported earlier, also had the largest number of COVID-19 cases and the highest prevalence and incidence rates of all sub-regions in the content. Southern and Western Africa are expected to experience a comparable death toll, while deaths in the Eastern Africa sub-region are expected to be the lowest of the sub-regions in Africa. Some countries such as Algeria, Morocco and South Africa are expected to experience the highest number of casualties since the beginning of the . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.