Author: Andrea Torneri; Pieter Jules Karel Libin; Joris Vanderlocht; Anne-Mieke Vandamme; Johan Neyts; Niel Hens
Title: A prospect on the use of antiviral drugs to control local outbreaks of COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: 9sr5b44k_32
Snippet: Isolation and quarantine lead to a substantial decrease in final size and peak incidence. When 114 performed prior to symptom onset their efficacy increases, which is important, as recent work 115 indicates that infectees are infectious prior to symptom onset. 19 The antiviral treatment is shown for Scenario IAS (yellow), Scenario IBS (green) and Scenario IBTBS (blue) when the quarantine contact rate is λ q =0·25λ together with the probability.....
Document: Isolation and quarantine lead to a substantial decrease in final size and peak incidence. When 114 performed prior to symptom onset their efficacy increases, which is important, as recent work 115 indicates that infectees are infectious prior to symptom onset. 19 The antiviral treatment is shown for Scenario IAS (yellow), Scenario IBS (green) and Scenario IBTBS (blue) when the quarantine contact rate is λ q =0·25λ together with the probability that a simulation leads to a number of cases smaller than the 10% of the population (purple asterisks). Right panel: mean peak incidence together with the 2·5 % and the 97·5 % percentiles.
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