Author: Bonasera, A.
Title: Aggressive COVID-19 second wave in Italy Cord-id: m194yrbv Document date: 2020_11_12
ID: m194yrbv
Snippet: A two-step model for the rise and decay of the COVID-19 is applied to the Fall resurgence of COVID-19 in Italy. Data starting from October 6 to the end of December 2020 are compared to the same time interval in Italy starting from the complete lockdown on March 14,2020. The model predicts more than 130,000 deceased by the end of the year 2020 if no effective measures are taken. If similar measures to the March ones are quickly adopted, the number of deceased may decrease to over 40,000. The situ
Document: A two-step model for the rise and decay of the COVID-19 is applied to the Fall resurgence of COVID-19 in Italy. Data starting from October 6 to the end of December 2020 are compared to the same time interval in Italy starting from the complete lockdown on March 14,2020. The model predicts more than 130,000 deceased by the end of the year 2020 if no effective measures are taken. If similar measures to the March ones are quickly adopted, the number of deceased may decrease to over 40,000. The situation is extremely serious and requires collaboration from everyone starting from wearing masks and other protections when social distancing is not feasible.
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