Author: Julien Riou; Chiara Poletto; Pierre-Yves Boëlle
Title: Improving early epidemiological assessment of emerging Aedes-transmitted epidemics using historical data Document date: 2018_4_16
ID: 7gh1yzaa_40
Snippet: The three ZIKV outbreaks in the French West Indies provided an ideal situation to look for ways to improve prediction of Aedes-transmitted diseases using historical data. Indeed, CHIKV outbreaks had been observed in the same locations about two years before ZIKV, CHIKV is also transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, and both viruses spread in a region where the populations were immunologically naive at rst. Furthermore, all epidemics were observed by th.....
Document: The three ZIKV outbreaks in the French West Indies provided an ideal situation to look for ways to improve prediction of Aedes-transmitted diseases using historical data. Indeed, CHIKV outbreaks had been observed in the same locations about two years before ZIKV, CHIKV is also transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, and both viruses spread in a region where the populations were immunologically naive at rst. Furthermore, all epidemics were observed by the same routinely operating GP-based surveillance networks, and the three locations benet from a mature public health system, with easy access to medical consultation and individual means of protection. Last, pest control is done in routine, with additional intervention showing limited ecacy in this context [40, 41] . This motivated our decision to use constant parameters for transmsission and reporting over time in the modelling.
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