Author: Francisco Perez-Reche; Norval Strachan
Title: Importance of untested infectious individuals for the suppression of COVID-19 epidemics Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: i2rmc37q_24
Snippet: The effectiveness of the lockdown imposed in Spain is predicted to be similar to the one in Italy ( Figure 5 (c)): The current lockdown managed to reduce the transmission by ~80% and resurge of infection is predicted to occur if the lockdown is completely removed after 90 days. At the end of the initial 90 days lockdown, we predict around 99 [90% CI: (22, 501) ] daily deaths. The number of daily deaths is predicted to remain at this level if the.....
Document: The effectiveness of the lockdown imposed in Spain is predicted to be similar to the one in Italy ( Figure 5 (c)): The current lockdown managed to reduce the transmission by ~80% and resurge of infection is predicted to occur if the lockdown is completely removed after 90 days. At the end of the initial 90 days lockdown, we predict around 99 [90% CI: (22, 501) ] daily deaths. The number of daily deaths is predicted to remain at this level if the lockdown is partially lifted to a situation in which transmission is kept to a 72% reduced level.
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