Author: Francisco Perez-Reche; Norval Strachan
Title: Importance of untested infectious individuals for the suppression of COVID-19 epidemics Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: i2rmc37q_39
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.13.20064022 doi: medRxiv preprint spread. For instance, we predict that isolation of infected individuals can have a limited impact on the suppression of spread unless it includes silent carriers that are currently missed by most countries. In line with previous suggestions 14, 35 , we suggest that, thorough testing combined with contact tracing 20,21 , isolation of infected.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.13.20064022 doi: medRxiv preprint spread. For instance, we predict that isolation of infected individuals can have a limited impact on the suppression of spread unless it includes silent carriers that are currently missed by most countries. In line with previous suggestions 14, 35 , we suggest that, thorough testing combined with contact tracing 20,21 , isolation of infected individuals and social distancing can be more effective to suppress SARS-CoV-2 spread than severe lockdowns. At present, however, lockdowns are probably the most effective way to delay epidemics until more effective pharmaceutical (e.g. a vaccine) or nonpharmaceutical interventions (e.g. fast and thorough testing) become feasible.
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