Selected article for: "low prevalence and positive testing"
Author: Pramit Ghosh; Salah Basheer; Sandip Paul; Partha Chakrabarti; Jit Sarkar
Title: Increased Detection coupled with Social Distancing and Health Capacity Planning Reduce the Burden of COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities: A Proof of Concept Study using a Stochastic Computational Simulation Model
  • Document date: 2020_4_7
    • ID: 01f5mvsc_28
    Snippet: Detection of disease is critical. Even for a very highly sensitive and specific test, with low generalised prevalence rate in countries like India, yield of indiscriminate and universal testing would not provide satisfactory result; positive predictive value will be quite low. Naturally the policy makers are justified in setting up criteria for testing based on certain clinical features. However negative test result would practically rule the asy.....
    Document: Detection of disease is critical. Even for a very highly sensitive and specific test, with low generalised prevalence rate in countries like India, yield of indiscriminate and universal testing would not provide satisfactory result; positive predictive value will be quite low. Naturally the policy makers are justified in setting up criteria for testing based on certain clinical features. However negative test result would practically rule the asymptomatic subject out as infected with SARS-CoV-2 infection. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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