Author: Jonas Dehning; Johannes Zierenberg; Frank Paul Spitzner; Michael Wibral; Joao Pinheiro Neto; Michael Wilczek; Viola Priesemann
Title: Inferring COVID-19 spreading rates and potential change points for case number forecasts Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: c8zfz8qt_53
Snippet: As a remark, during the onset phase of an epidemic only a very small fraction of the population is infected (I) or recovered (R), and thus S ≈ N I such that S/N ≈ 1. Therefore, the differential equation for the infected reduces to a simple linear equation, exhibiting an exponential growth.....
Document: As a remark, during the onset phase of an epidemic only a very small fraction of the population is infected (I) or recovered (R), and thus S ≈ N I such that S/N ≈ 1. Therefore, the differential equation for the infected reduces to a simple linear equation, exhibiting an exponential growth
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