Author: Pramit Ghosh; Salah Basheer; Sandip Paul; Partha Chakrabarti; Jit Sarkar
Title: Increased Detection coupled with Social Distancing and Health Capacity Planning Reduce the Burden of COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities: A Proof of Concept Study using a Stochastic Computational Simulation Model Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: 01f5mvsc_1
Snippet: Coronavirus Disease 2019 caused by the novel corona virus SARS-CoV-2 has been declared a pandemic by World Health Organization [1] . The disease has rapidly spread globally, the first case in India being detected on 30 th January, 2020. Since then, several research groups have been working in predicting COVID-19 cases and their consequences in India. Till date, Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) models has been widely used in predicting the c.....
Document: Coronavirus Disease 2019 caused by the novel corona virus SARS-CoV-2 has been declared a pandemic by World Health Organization [1] . The disease has rapidly spread globally, the first case in India being detected on 30 th January, 2020. Since then, several research groups have been working in predicting COVID-19 cases and their consequences in India. Till date, Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) models has been widely used in predicting the course of epidemics [2] . SIR models are epidemic simulation models which divide the population into 3 compartments of Susceptible, Infectious and Recovered groups and assume a defined rate of transition between them. Variation of SIR model is the SEIR model which includes another compartment "Exposed" in the model [3] .
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