Author: Bimandra A Djaafara; Natsuko Imai; Esther Hamblion; Benido Impouma; Christl A Donnelly; Anne Cori
Title: A quantitative framework to define the end of an outbreak: application to Ebola Virus Disease Document date: 2020_2_20
ID: nnkholfe_58
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02. 17.20024042 doi: medRxiv preprint leading to a longer time to declare the EO. Given the potential variability in this delay period between cases, in particular depending on outcome (mean onset-to-recovery and onset-to-death were estimated as 14.4-15.3 and 6.2-8.8 days respectively (32)), our results do not support the current WHO single criterion to declare the EO, irrespec.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02. 17.20024042 doi: medRxiv preprint leading to a longer time to declare the EO. Given the potential variability in this delay period between cases, in particular depending on outcome (mean onset-to-recovery and onset-to-death were estimated as 14.4-15.3 and 6.2-8.8 days respectively (32)), our results do not support the current WHO single criterion to declare the EO, irrespective of the last detected case's outcome.
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