Author: Lloyd A. C. Chapman; Simon E. F. Spencer; Timothy M. Pollington; Chris P. Jewell; Dinesh Mondal; Jorge Alvar; T. Deirdre Hollingsworth; Mary M. Cameron; Caryn Bern; Graham F. Medley
Title: Inferring transmission trees to guide targeting of interventions against visceral leishmaniasis and post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis Document date: 2020_2_25
ID: nqn1qzcu_81
Snippet: Reconstructing the epidemic Reconstructing the transmission tree. We reconstruct the transmission tree following the 'sequential approach' described 488 in (44). We draw N samples (â—Š k , X k ) (k = 1, . . . , N) from the joint posterior distribution from the MCMC, calculate the 489 probability that infectee i was infected by individual j conditional on their infection time Ei and uncertainty in the parameter values and missing data (over the po.....
Document: Reconstructing the epidemic Reconstructing the transmission tree. We reconstruct the transmission tree following the 'sequential approach' described 488 in (44). We draw N samples (â—Š k , X k ) (k = 1, . . . , N) from the joint posterior distribution from the MCMC, calculate the 489 probability that infectee i was infected by individual j conditional on their infection time Ei and uncertainty in the parameter values and missing data (over the posterior distribution). We use N = 1000 here.
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