Author: Haridas, Ajit; Sasikumar, Roschen
Title: How to Flatten the post-lockdown epidemic trajectory Cord-id: ol1brcz1 Document date: 2020_5_10
ID: ol1brcz1
Snippet: Populations are locked down during an epidemic to slow down the rate of infection so that epidemic trajectory is flattened. This helps to keep cases at a manageable level. Given the enormous economic damage and misery caused by a lockdown, it is imperative to keep the lockdown period limited . A lockdown is useful only if it can be ensured that after the lockdown is lifted, the epidemic trajectory does not rise sharply again. We present here the results from a mathematical model of the epidemic
Document: Populations are locked down during an epidemic to slow down the rate of infection so that epidemic trajectory is flattened. This helps to keep cases at a manageable level. Given the enormous economic damage and misery caused by a lockdown, it is imperative to keep the lockdown period limited . A lockdown is useful only if it can be ensured that after the lockdown is lifted, the epidemic trajectory does not rise sharply again. We present here the results from a mathematical model of the epidemic which examines how the timing, strength and duration of the lockdown affects the post-lockdown epidemic trajectory. Our results show the following:
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