Author: Rafael Gonzalez Gonzalez; Francisco Munoz; Pablo S Moya; Miguel Kiwi
Title: Is a COVID19 Quarantine Justified in Chile or USA Right Now? Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: 7eokrk78_3
Snippet: We avoid making forecasts about the number of infected, limiting ourselves to the available data. Our assumptions are minimal and play almost no role in our conclusions. We suggest a nationwide quarantine considering that our social life is very similar to that of Italy or Spain, who are experiencing a giant humanitarian crisis due to the collapse of their healthcare system. But, beyond this or another measure, we want to show that the contagion .....
Document: We avoid making forecasts about the number of infected, limiting ourselves to the available data. Our assumptions are minimal and play almost no role in our conclusions. We suggest a nationwide quarantine considering that our social life is very similar to that of Italy or Spain, who are experiencing a giant humanitarian crisis due to the collapse of their healthcare system. But, beyond this or another measure, we want to show that the contagion of the disease must be radically reduced right now, and this can be achieved by effective social distancing, only possible by lockdown.
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