Selected article for: "case fatality and increase case"

Author: Wallace, D. J.; Ackland, G. J.
Title: Abrupt increase in the UK coronavirus death-case ratio in December 2020
  • Cord-id: pzqzld64
  • Document date: 2021_1_22
  • ID: pzqzld64
    Snippet: Objective: to determine the statistical relationship between reported deaths and infections in the UK coronavirus outbreak Design: Publicly available UK government data is used to determine a relationship between reported cases and deaths, taking into account various UK regions, age profiles and prevalence of the variant of concern (VOC) B.1.1.7. Main Outcome Measures: Establishing a simple statistical relationship between detected cases and subsequent mortality. Results: Throughout October and
    Document: Objective: to determine the statistical relationship between reported deaths and infections in the UK coronavirus outbreak Design: Publicly available UK government data is used to determine a relationship between reported cases and deaths, taking into account various UK regions, age profiles and prevalence of the variant of concern (VOC) B.1.1.7. Main Outcome Measures: Establishing a simple statistical relationship between detected cases and subsequent mortality. Results: Throughout October and November 2020, deaths in England are well described as 1/55th of detected cases from 12 days previously. After that, the relationship no longer holds and deaths are significantly higher. This is especially true in regions affected by the VOC B.1.1.7 Conclusions: In early December, some new factor emerged to increase the case-fatality rate in the UK.

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