Author: Dawd S Siraj; Amir S Siraj; Abigail Mapes
Title: Early estimates of COVID-19 infections in small, medium and large population clusters Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: kq72rtia_32
Snippet: Sub Saharan Africa's large young population is expected to lead to relatively lower mortality rates given the observed larger mortality rates among older population [11] . In addition, the overall low population density in rural areas should allow natural distancing, thus mitigating the impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic [7, 14] . On the other hand, weak health systems, poor access to sanitation, overcrowded cities and slums make social distancing.....
Document: Sub Saharan Africa's large young population is expected to lead to relatively lower mortality rates given the observed larger mortality rates among older population [11] . In addition, the overall low population density in rural areas should allow natural distancing, thus mitigating the impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic [7, 14] . On the other hand, weak health systems, poor access to sanitation, overcrowded cities and slums make social distancing a challenge and negatively impact the spread of the virus. Population face mask utility can support the social distancing needed to decrease transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 [15] especially in urban centers where people may find it hard to keep distances. We have modeled our estimate based on three basic reproduction number R 0 values, three cluster sizes and three initial cases. SSA countries . CC-BY 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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