Author: Dawd S Siraj; Amir S Siraj; Abigail Mapes
Title: Early estimates of COVID-19 infections in small, medium and large population clusters Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: kq72rtia_9
Snippet: Our results show a cluster of 100k with 50% coverage of contact tracing and isolation will have an estimated 7k (95% CI 60-15k), 38k (95% CI 65-56k), 76k (95% CI 285-84k) cases for R 0 values of 2, 2.5 and 3 respectively (Fig 1, S1 Fig.) , in the 90 days after the start of the epidemic, while these figures could have been 48k (95% CI 14k-79k), 85k (95% CI 53k-90k) and 94k.....
Document: Our results show a cluster of 100k with 50% coverage of contact tracing and isolation will have an estimated 7k (95% CI 60-15k), 38k (95% CI 65-56k), 76k (95% CI 285-84k) cases for R 0 values of 2, 2.5 and 3 respectively (Fig 1, S1 Fig.) , in the 90 days after the start of the epidemic, while these figures could have been 48k (95% CI 14k-79k), 85k (95% CI 53k-90k) and 94k
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