Author: Jasmine M Gardner; Lander Willem; Wouter van der Wijngaart; Shina Caroline Lynn Kamerlin; Nele Brusselaers; Peter Kasson
Title: Intervention strategies against COVID-19 and their estimated impact on Swedish healthcare capacity Document date: 2020_4_15
ID: ass2u6y8_51
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.11.20062133 doi: medRxiv preprint Since lack of mechanical ventilation will likely result in death for patients who would otherwise need it, it is worthwhile to consider alternative public-health intervention strategies to reduce the load on the healthcare system. The most stringent control measures considered resulted in at least a 50% reduction in the need for ICU capacity.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.11.20062133 doi: medRxiv preprint Since lack of mechanical ventilation will likely result in death for patients who would otherwise need it, it is worthwhile to consider alternative public-health intervention strategies to reduce the load on the healthcare system. The most stringent control measures considered resulted in at least a 50% reduction in the need for ICU capacity, bringing it to within an order of magnitude of pre-pandemic levels, with decline already beginning in late April. The predicted ICU capacity requirements associated with each public-health policy choice modelled are plotted in Figure 3 . Because of Sweden's low number of ICU beds per capita 22 24 , it likely had a high ICU-bed occupancy before the pandemic, so not all ventilators and staff will be available for COVID-19 patients even if all elective procedures are halted.
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