Author: Francesco Pinotti; Laura Di Domenico; Ernesto Ortega; Marco Mancastroppa; Giulia Pullano; Eugenio Valdano; Pierre-Yves Boelle; Chiara Poletto; Vittoria Colizza
Title: Lessons learnt from 288 COVID-19 international cases: importations over time, effect of interventions, underdetection of imported cases Document date: 2020_2_25
ID: ad3tct5b_24
Snippet: The model predicted a rapid exponential growth of importations from Hubei, with a growth rate The predicted trend of all imported cases over time is shown in Figure 3 , compared with the observed data. Reported importations are predicted to remain stationary in the second and third week of February and to rise again due to the effect of transmission clusters outside China. Imported cases after February 13, 2020 are in agreement with model predict.....
Document: The model predicted a rapid exponential growth of importations from Hubei, with a growth rate The predicted trend of all imported cases over time is shown in Figure 3 , compared with the observed data. Reported importations are predicted to remain stationary in the second and third week of February and to rise again due to the effect of transmission clusters outside China. Imported cases after February 13, 2020 are in agreement with model predictions (Fig.3) .
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