Author: Zhanshan (Sam) Ma
Title: A Simple Mathematical Model for Estimating the Inflection Points of COVID-19 Outbreaks Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: fttqmts4_52
Snippet: Still a third limitation of the PLEC model is that it may only detect a single inflection point for a dataset. In other words, it is only applicable for detecting the inflection point for unimodal curve, as explained in the material and methods section. In the case of coronaviruses, this may not be an issue given that the SARS outbreak was also unimodal. In case of multiple-peak recurrence or seasonal outbreaks, it should be possible to divide mu.....
Document: Still a third limitation of the PLEC model is that it may only detect a single inflection point for a dataset. In other words, it is only applicable for detecting the inflection point for unimodal curve, as explained in the material and methods section. In the case of coronaviruses, this may not be an issue given that the SARS outbreak was also unimodal. In case of multiple-peak recurrence or seasonal outbreaks, it should be possible to divide multi-modal curve into multiple unimodal curves. Therefore, this limitation should be much less serious than it appears.
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