Author: Haluk Akay; George Barbastathis
Title: MARKOVIAN RANDOM WALK MODELING AND VISUALIZATION OF THE EPIDEMIC SPREAD OF COVID-19 Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: fetbio7q_2
Snippet: Even though the viruses exhibit substantial genetic similarity across regions, the nature of its epidemic spread is unique to each region. Of particular economic importance, and its indirect effects on human welfare during the pandemic, is the surge of demand [5] for staple goods at the peak of active confirmed infected cases in a population. This work seeks to understand why different countries experience this peak at different magnitudes and di.....
Document: Even though the viruses exhibit substantial genetic similarity across regions, the nature of its epidemic spread is unique to each region. Of particular economic importance, and its indirect effects on human welfare during the pandemic, is the surge of demand [5] for staple goods at the peak of active confirmed infected cases in a population. This work seeks to understand why different countries experience this peak at different magnitudes and different speeds. Given the contemporary nature of this pandemic, in addition to the aim of purely modeling the epidemic spread of CoVID-19, this work seeks to graphically visualize this spread for the benefit of all concurrent research continuing on this topic. The key information the visualization presented seeks to provide is the temporal and spatial quality of epidemic spreading, given a set of initial conditions and disease spread and containment specifics in the region under study.
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