Author: Haluk Akay; George Barbastathis
Title: MARKOVIAN RANDOM WALK MODELING AND VISUALIZATION OF THE EPIDEMIC SPREAD OF COVID-19 Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: fetbio7q_3
Snippet: The model presented is inspired by temporal visualizations of the spread of forest fires, where a single flaming tree among a lattice of trees can "infect" other "susceptible" green trees with the fire, until every tree has "recovered" by burning down [6] . Each of these actions occur with fixed probabilities that govern the Markovian system; by associating colors with each state, spreading of the disease or "forest fire" may be visualized. Our m.....
Document: The model presented is inspired by temporal visualizations of the spread of forest fires, where a single flaming tree among a lattice of trees can "infect" other "susceptible" green trees with the fire, until every tree has "recovered" by burning down [6] . Each of these actions occur with fixed probabilities that govern the Markovian system; by associating colors with each state, spreading of the disease or "forest fire" may be visualized. Our model adds a spatial component where agents make random walks to mimic how the disease spreads dynamically through human movement.
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