Author: Brydon Eastman; Cameron Meaney; Michelle Przedborski; Mohammad Kohandel
Title: Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 containment strategies with considerations for limited medical resources Document date: 2020_4_22
ID: 51g3vhcx_25
Snippet: Using the best fit parameters obtained from the procedure outlined in the Supplementary Information B.2, we sought to predict the effectiveness of several social distancing strategies on mitigating the severity of the pandemic. To this end, we expanded the SEIRD model to directly capture the effects of a proportion of the population adhering to the social distancing guidelines, see Eq. (A.2). Mathematically, this involved first stratifying the su.....
Document: Using the best fit parameters obtained from the procedure outlined in the Supplementary Information B.2, we sought to predict the effectiveness of several social distancing strategies on mitigating the severity of the pandemic. To this end, we expanded the SEIRD model to directly capture the effects of a proportion of the population adhering to the social distancing guidelines, see Eq. (A.2). Mathematically, this involved first stratifying the susceptible, exposed, and infected compartments of the SEIRD model, Eq. (A.1), based on social distancing behaviour. The resulting system of coupled ODEs was solved numerically using Euler's method with a time step of 0.1 days, to obtain the temporal evolution of each population compartment over the relevant time period.
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