Author: Haluk Akay; George Barbastathis
Title: MARKOVIAN RANDOM WALK MODELING AND VISUALIZATION OF THE EPIDEMIC SPREAD OF COVID-19 Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: fetbio7q_20
Snippet: There is no consensus currently on the exact reproduction number of CoVID-19 yet [11] , but a study using the SEIR model to estimate R 0 using data from Wuhan, China concluded it fell within a 95% confidence interval of between 5.7 -7.2, estimated to be 6.5 [12] . Neural-network based models have suggested how effective reproductive number can even be a dynamic variable [13] . For this work, R 0 was taken to be 7.0......
Document: There is no consensus currently on the exact reproduction number of CoVID-19 yet [11] , but a study using the SEIR model to estimate R 0 using data from Wuhan, China concluded it fell within a 95% confidence interval of between 5.7 -7.2, estimated to be 6.5 [12] . Neural-network based models have suggested how effective reproductive number can even be a dynamic variable [13] . For this work, R 0 was taken to be 7.0.
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