Selected article for: "basic reproductive number and observatory procedure"
Author: Alexander Okhuese Victor
Title: MATHEMATICAL PREDICTIONS FOR COVID-19 AS A GLOBAL PANDEMIC
  • Document date: 2020_3_24
    • ID: ckay4ufw_82
    Snippet: In this study, the ( ) = 0 and ( ) > 0 does not satisfy the prescribed threshold criteria based on Gerald (2012), then the disease free equilibrium ( ) for COVID-19 coronavirus does not satisfy the criteria for a locally or globally asymptotic stability. This implies that as a pandemic as declared by WHO (2020) the COVID-19 coronavirus does not have a curative vaccine yet and precautionary measures are advised through quarantine and observatory p.....
    Document: In this study, the ( ) = 0 and ( ) > 0 does not satisfy the prescribed threshold criteria based on Gerald (2012), then the disease free equilibrium ( ) for COVID-19 coronavirus does not satisfy the criteria for a locally or globally asymptotic stability. This implies that as a pandemic as declared by WHO (2020) the COVID-19 coronavirus does not have a curative vaccine yet and precautionary measures are advised through quarantine and observatory procedures. Also, the Basic Reproductive number ( 0 < 1) by Equation (33) shows that there is a chance of decline of secondary infections when the ratio between the incidence rate in the population and the total number of infected population quarantined with observatory procedure.

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