Selected article for: "approximately month and main effect"
Author: Brydon Eastman; Cameron Meaney; Michelle Przedborski; Mohammad Kohandel
Title: Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 containment strategies with considerations for limited medical resources
  • Document date: 2020_4_22
    • ID: 51g3vhcx_35
    Snippet: delayed the longer that social is in effect. In Ontario, a 20% social distancing adherence reduces the size and slightly delays the onset of the initial wave of ventilator demand. For 40% social distancing, the initial wave is further reduced and delayed, but the effect of choosing the proper stop time is clear. Ending social distancing after three months creates a second wave approximately one month later, whereas extending social distancing for.....
    Document: delayed the longer that social is in effect. In Ontario, a 20% social distancing adherence reduces the size and slightly delays the onset of the initial wave of ventilator demand. For 40% social distancing, the initial wave is further reduced and delayed, but the effect of choosing the proper stop time is clear. Ending social distancing after three months creates a second wave approximately one month later, whereas extending social distancing for six months delays the second wave until the winter, allowing time for the production of additional ventilators in time to meet the demand. For high proportions of social distancing, the main effect becomes delaying the curve, rather than flattening it. Indeed, for 80% social distancing, the ventilator demand curve is nearly identical to the case with no social distancing except for a time-shift until after social distancing has ended. This again stresses the importance of a gradual reduction in social distancing so as to not shock the system.

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