Author: Ashleigh Tuite; David N Fisman; Amy L Greer
Title: Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission and mitigation strategies in the population of Ontario, Canada Document date: 2020_3_26
ID: e4pr78n0_29
Snippet: All of the interventions considered were projected to delay the epidemic peak and reduce the number of cases requiring ICU care at the peak (Figure 3) . The effectiveness of the interventions scaled with intervention duration. For all interventions, when the intervention duration was 6 months or less, there was no appreciable difference on final attack rate. With 12 and 18 months of heightened response measures, the proportion of the population i.....
Document: All of the interventions considered were projected to delay the epidemic peak and reduce the number of cases requiring ICU care at the peak (Figure 3) . The effectiveness of the interventions scaled with intervention duration. For all interventions, when the intervention duration was 6 months or less, there was no appreciable difference on final attack rate. With 12 and 18 months of heightened response measures, the proportion of the population infected at the end of the 2year period was reduced and, in some simulations, the prevalence of cases requiring intensive care fell below Ontario's current capacity for all or part of the time period. The largest effect was observed for the restrictive social distancing intervention. The combination intervention, with enhanced case detection and less aggressive social distancing was projected to substantially . CC-BY-NC 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- aggressive social distancing and cc NC International license: 1
- aggressive social distancing and ICU care: 1
- aggressive social distancing and intensive care: 1, 2, 3
- attack rate and case detection: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- attack rate and cc NC International license: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- attack rate and combination intervention: 1
- attack rate and current capacity: 1, 2
- attack rate and distancing intervention: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21
- attack rate and enhanced case detection: 1
- attack rate and epidemic peak: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15
- attack rate and epidemic peak delay: 1
- attack rate and final attack rate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16
- attack rate and ICU care: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- attack rate and intensive care: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15
- attack rate and intensive care require: 1
- case detection and cc NC International license: 1, 2, 3, 4
- case detection and distancing intervention: 1
- case detection and enhanced case detection: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- case detection and epidemic peak: 1, 2, 3, 4
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date