Author: Ashleigh Tuite; David N Fisman; Amy L Greer
Title: Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission and mitigation strategies in the population of Ontario, Canada Document date: 2020_3_26
ID: e4pr78n0_5
Snippet: Societal disruption measures could include outcomes such as the overall duration of time that the intervention needs to be to achieve the associated reductions in morbidity and mortality. A challenge for pandemic response using NPIs is that, in a fully susceptible population, although NPIs may slow disease transmission while they are in place, once the intervention is lifted (or compliance with the intervention becomes low), the transmission of t.....
Document: Societal disruption measures could include outcomes such as the overall duration of time that the intervention needs to be to achieve the associated reductions in morbidity and mortality. A challenge for pandemic response using NPIs is that, in a fully susceptible population, although NPIs may slow disease transmission while they are in place, once the intervention is lifted (or compliance with the intervention becomes low), the transmission of the pathogen rebounds rapidly (10, 12) . In the case of COVID-19, it may not be possible to minimize morbidity and mortality, and societal and economic disruption at the same time.
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