Author: Aravind Lathika Rajendrakumar; Anand Thakarakkattil Narayanan Nair; Charvi Nangia; Prabal Kumar Chourasia; Mehul Kumar Chourasia; Mohammad Ghouse Syed; Anu Sasidharan Nair; Arun B Nair; Muhammed Shaffi Fazaludeen Koya
Title: Epidemic Landscape and Forecasting of SARS-CoV-2 in India Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: mjqbvpw2_1
Snippet: SARS-CoV-2 originated in Hubei province of China and quickly spread to several countries including Japan and South Korea. 1 The source of the infection was later traced back to wet market in Wuhan, capital of Hubei. 2 A phylogenetic analysis of virus in Italy confirmed likely import of disease from China. 3 Rapid travelling modes such as air transport further accelerated the epidemic by introducing new cases in to more countries. 4 As of April 13.....
Document: SARS-CoV-2 originated in Hubei province of China and quickly spread to several countries including Japan and South Korea. 1 The source of the infection was later traced back to wet market in Wuhan, capital of Hubei. 2 A phylogenetic analysis of virus in Italy confirmed likely import of disease from China. 3 Rapid travelling modes such as air transport further accelerated the epidemic by introducing new cases in to more countries. 4 As of April 13 2020 there were 1,922,891 reported cases of SARS-CoV-2 globally along with a huge death toll almost touching 120,000. 5 There is increasing evidence that the virus may have jumped organisms to reach humans through pangolins or similar animals acting as intermediates. 6 Emerging and re-emerging infections of this scale disrupt health system functioning and cause massive losses to economy. Mathematical modelling has been used widely to understand the spread of disease in populations. 7 One of the aims of the modelling is to estimate parameters that are critical to the spread of diseases such as basic reproductive number or R0 and incubation period. 8 This is quite useful in the scenario of early spread of disease to plan future strategies.
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