Selected article for: "burden index and exponential growth"
Author: Rafael Gonzalez Gonzalez; Francisco Munoz; Pablo S Moya; Miguel Kiwi
Title: Is a COVID19 Quarantine Justified in Chile or USA Right Now?
  • Document date: 2020_3_27
    • ID: 7eokrk78_14
    Snippet: Finally, while our main concern is Chile, the US case is very worrisome. In fact, with more than 100,000 ICU beds, twice as much as China, they are not shielding the population from exponential COVID-19 growth. The US has 17 times more population than Chile, and 100 times more ICU beds, but there is no guarantee of avoiding collapse (see Fig. 1 ). The only way to avoid collapse is by reducing the contagion rate as early as possible. By March 23, .....
    Document: Finally, while our main concern is Chile, the US case is very worrisome. In fact, with more than 100,000 ICU beds, twice as much as China, they are not shielding the population from exponential COVID-19 growth. The US has 17 times more population than Chile, and 100 times more ICU beds, but there is no guarantee of avoiding collapse (see Fig. 1 ). The only way to avoid collapse is by reducing the contagion rate as early as possible. By March 23, the slope of the COVID-19 burden index of USA is similar to South Korea in Day 2 (see Fig. 1 ). South Korea shortly afterward decreased the slope of the curve, avoiding the burnout limit. The same could happen in USA, but it will depend on the measures taken in the previous weeks.

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