Making sense of the Global Coronavirus Data: The role of testing rates in understanding the pandemic and our exit strategy

Rahul Potluri; Deepthi Lavu

We felt it necessary to undertake further analysis, the third analysis, to adjust the data to a country which is progressing towards the latter half of the pandemic curve -South Korea [22] [23] [24] . Ideally, undertaking this adjustment with data from China would be most appropriate but data for the number of diagnostic tests performed in China was not available. The adjustment factor for South Korea was a case per test rate of 2.23% and 0.04% death per test rate. Hence our country wise population level pandemic projections were based on 1) inherent case per test and death per test rates at the time of obtaining the data (4/4/2020 0900 BST) for each country 2) rates adjusted according to the countries who conducted at least 100000 tests and 3) rates adjusted according to South Korea. Our analyses are shown in the tables and figures. No additional analyses were performed.