Selected article for: "accurate actual and actual number"

Author: Lionel Roques; Etienne Klein; Julien Papaix; Samuel Soubeyrand
Title: Mechanistic-statistical SIR modelling for early estimation of the actual number of cases and mortality rate from COVID-19
  • Document date: 2020_3_24
  • ID: dqg8fkca_1
    Snippet: from COVID-19 are probably accurate, the actual number of infected people in the population is not known. Thus, due to the relatively low number of screening tests that have been carried out in France (about 5 over 10, 000 people in France to be compared with 50 over 10, 000 in South Korea up to March 15, 2020 ; Sources: Santé Publique France and Korean Center for Disease Control) the direct computation of the IFR is not possible. Based on the P.....
    Document: from COVID-19 are probably accurate, the actual number of infected people in the population is not known. Thus, due to the relatively low number of screening tests that have been carried out in France (about 5 over 10, 000 people in France to be compared with 50 over 10, 000 in South Korea up to March 15, 2020 ; Sources: Santé Publique France and Korean Center for Disease Control) the direct computation of the IFR is not possible. Based on the PCR-confirmed cases in international residents repatriated from China on January 2020, [2] obtained an estimate of the infection fatality ratio (IFR) of 0.66% in China, and, adjusting for non-uniform attack rates by age, an IFR of 0.9% was obtained in the UK [3] . Using data from the quarantined Diamond Princess cruise ship in Japan and correcting for delays between confirmation and death [4] obtained an IFR of 1.3%.

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