Selected article for: "cumulative number and epidemiological model"
Author: Lionel Roques; Etienne Klein; Julien Papaix; Samuel Soubeyrand
Title: Mechanistic-statistical SIR modelling for early estimation of the actual number of cases and mortality rate from COVID-19
  • Document date: 2020_3_24
    • ID: dqg8fkca_40
    Snippet: A more complex epidemiological model of the COVID-19 epidemic in China has been proposed in [17] , with an infectious class divided into several compartments (asymptomatic individuals, unobserved symptomatic infectious and observed symptomatic infectious). The authors use this model in [18] to make forecasts on the cumulative number of cases in China, while taking into account management strategies. In these two studies the authors emphasise the .....
    Document: A more complex epidemiological model of the COVID-19 epidemic in China has been proposed in [17] , with an infectious class divided into several compartments (asymptomatic individuals, unobserved symptomatic infectious and observed symptomatic infectious). The authors use this model in [18] to make forecasts on the cumulative number of cases in China, while taking into account management strategies. In these two studies the authors emphasise the importance of being able to estimate the fraction of infectious cases that are not observed in order to forecast the dynamics of the epidemic. Our study, though based on a simpler SIR model, shows that this fraction can be estimated based on early data.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • asymptomatic individual and epidemiological model: 1, 2, 3
    • case cumulative number and China epidemic: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
    • case cumulative number and cumulative number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • case cumulative number and infectious case: 1
    • China epidemic and cumulative number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • China epidemic and epidemic dynamic: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    • China epidemic and epidemiological model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
    • China epidemic and infectious case: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
    • China epidemic epidemiological model and epidemiological model: 1
    • cumulative number and epidemic dynamic: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • cumulative number and epidemic dynamic forecast: 1, 2
    • cumulative number and epidemiological model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17
    • cumulative number and infectious case: 1, 2, 3