Author: Ashleigh Tuite; David N Fisman; Amy L Greer
Title: Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission and mitigation strategies in the population of Ontario, Canada Document date: 2020_3_26
ID: e4pr78n0_35
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042705 doi: medRxiv preprint 1 1 capacity for mechanical ventilation. In broad terms, we find that prolonged social distancing is the preferred strategy for maintaining ICU resources, but an extreme fixed duration of social distancing is required to prevent the epidemic from overwhelming ICU capacity. That said, social distancing, ev.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042705 doi: medRxiv preprint 1 1 capacity for mechanical ventilation. In broad terms, we find that prolonged social distancing is the preferred strategy for maintaining ICU resources, but an extreme fixed duration of social distancing is required to prevent the epidemic from overwhelming ICU capacity. That said, social distancing, even without reducing overall outbreak size, has the added benefit of delaying the epidemic peak, which gains time that can be used to build health system capacity and identify therapies and vaccines.
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