Author: Wolfgang Bock; Barbara Adamik; Marek Bawiec; Viktor Bezborodov; Marcin Bodych; Jan Pablo Burgard; Thomas Goetz; Tyll Krueger; Agata Migalska; Barbara Pabjan; Tomasz Ozanski; Ewaryst Rafajlowicz; Wojciech Rafajlowicz,; Ewa Skubalska-Rafajlowicz; Sara Ryfczynska; Ewa Szczurek; Piotr Szymanski
Title: Mitigation and herd immunity strategy for COVID-19 is likely to fail Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: 48stbn6k_64
Snippet: Here Ï (k) can also be interpreted as the survival probability of an associated branching process describing the initial spread of the epidemics starting with one infected household of size k. The quantities p 0,k and E in the exponent take into account the combined effect of reduced household infections due to patients which get early hospitalized and the reduced number of secondary infections generated by such patients. The numerical values of.....
Document: Here Ï (k) can also be interpreted as the survival probability of an associated branching process describing the initial spread of the epidemics starting with one infected household of size k. The quantities p 0,k and E in the exponent take into account the combined effect of reduced household infections due to patients which get early hospitalized and the reduced number of secondary infections generated by such patients. The numerical values of p 0,k and E can be computed from the underlying distributions for disease progression within patients.
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