Selected article for: "differential equation and SIR model differential equation"

Author: Lionel Roques; Etienne Klein; Julien Papaix; Samuel Soubeyrand
Title: Mechanistic-statistical SIR modelling for early estimation of the actual number of cases and mortality rate from COVID-19
  • Document date: 2020_3_24
  • ID: dqg8fkca_5
    Snippet: Mechanistic-statistical model. The mechanistic-statistical formalism, which is becoming standard in ecology [9, 10, 11] allows the analyst to couple a mechanistic model that describes a latent variable, here an ordinary differential equation model (ODE) of the SIR type, and uncertain, nonexhaustive data. To bridge the gap between the mechanistic model and the data, the approach uses a probabilistic model describing the data collection process. A .....
    Document: Mechanistic-statistical model. The mechanistic-statistical formalism, which is becoming standard in ecology [9, 10, 11] allows the analyst to couple a mechanistic model that describes a latent variable, here an ordinary differential equation model (ODE) of the SIR type, and uncertain, nonexhaustive data. To bridge the gap between the mechanistic model and the data, the approach uses a probabilistic model describing the data collection process. A statistical method is then used for the estimation of the parameters of the mechanistic model.

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