Author: ibrahim Halil Aslan; Mahir Demir; Michael Morgan Wise; Suzanne Lenhart
Title: Modeling COVID-19: Forecasting and analyzing the dynamics of the outbreak in Hubei and Turkey Document date: 2020_4_15
ID: fsjze3t2_44
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.11.20061952 doi: medRxiv preprint The rate of reported (infected) cases, i q is related to the number of tests given during the outbreak to identify the infected people. Thus, increasing the number of tests will increase the rate of case reporting i q . This will reduce the number of cases (see Figure 6 ) and, consequently, the number of .....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.11.20061952 doi: medRxiv preprint The rate of reported (infected) cases, i q is related to the number of tests given during the outbreak to identify the infected people. Thus, increasing the number of tests will increase the rate of case reporting i q . This will reduce the number of cases (see Figure 6 ) and, consequently, the number of deaths due to the outbreak. When we increase the rate of reported (infected) cases i q by about 10%, the number of cases and number of deaths are estimated to be 36040 and 1639, respectively. Decreasing the rate about 10%, the number of cases and number of deaths are estimated to be 14084 and 6724, respectively.
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