Method for Active Pandemic Curve Management (MAPCM)

Willem G Odendaal

The most popular strategy implemented by government leaders to address these problems came down to aggressive containment, sometimes aborderlining draconian laws, at a national level to "flatten the curve". The idea is to slow down the spread, reduce the infection rate, and close the gap between the excessive demand and the available healthcare resources. However, the level of mitigation required to flatten the curve can asphyxiate an economy due to layoffs and closing businesses. To make matters worse, flattening the curve also prolongs the outbreak for an unsustainable amount of time. Moreover, the flattened curve might still exceed healthcare capacity, as it maintains its exponential character despite being damped. In fact, it is unlikely, if not impossible to reduce the curve within available healthcare resource thresholds.