Selected article for: "observed infection number and PLEC model performance"
Author: Zhanshan (Sam) Ma
Title: A Simple Mathematical Model for Estimating the Inflection Points of COVID-19 Outbreaks
  • Document date: 2020_3_27
    • ID: fttqmts4_36
    Snippet: We test the performance of the proposed PLEC model with two schemes. First, we evaluate the "congruency" of T max (inflection time point) with the reality by comparing the actually observed infection number at the date of T max with the estimated I max . To determine the congruence, we calculate an interval [I max −I max x0.05; I max +I max x0.05] for each PLEC model. If the actually observed infection numbers falls within the interval, the est.....
    Document: We test the performance of the proposed PLEC model with two schemes. First, we evaluate the "congruency" of T max (inflection time point) with the reality by comparing the actually observed infection number at the date of T max with the estimated I max . To determine the congruence, we calculate an interval [I max −I max x0.05; I max +I max x0.05] for each PLEC model. If the actually observed infection numbers falls within the interval, the estimation of T max is considered as valid.

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