Author: Sahamoddin Khailaie; Tanmay Mitra; Arnab Bandyopadhyay; Marta Schips; Pietro Mascheroni; Patrizio Vanella; Berit Lange; Sebastian Binder; Michael Meyer-Hermann
Title: Estimate of the development of the epidemic reproduction number Rt from Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 case data and implications for political measures based on prognostics Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: 0uzma5vr_61
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10. 1101 For the prospective study, the model state at the last time of Rt evaluation as well as the Rt value itself are kept and used as initial conditions for the model. The Rt value is subsequently varied with factors of 5/3, 4/3, 1, 2/3, and 1/3 to mimic release, maintenance, or intensification of NPIs, respectively. The cumulative number of infected individuals and the number of occupi.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10. 1101 For the prospective study, the model state at the last time of Rt evaluation as well as the Rt value itself are kept and used as initial conditions for the model. The Rt value is subsequently varied with factors of 5/3, 4/3, 1, 2/3, and 1/3 to mimic release, maintenance, or intensification of NPIs, respectively. The cumulative number of infected individuals and the number of occupied ICUs is reported. More observables are found in the supplement and at (SIMM-group 2020).
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