Author: Robert J Challen; Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova; Martin Pitt; Tom Edwards; Luke Gompels; Lucas Lacasa; Ellen Brooks-Pollock; Chris Martin; Gareth Griffith; Leon Danon
Title: Estimates of regional infectivity of COVID-19 in the United Kingdom following imposition of social distancing measures Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: fqvrlrv0_12
Snippet: Using the inferred serial interval distribution, we analysed the time series data using R 23 and the EpiEstim 24-26 library to estimate the time varying reproduction numbers between the 11th March until the 9th April, with the underlying assumption that there is negligible mixing of populations between each geographical area. The validity of this assumption decreases as we consider smaller geographies, particularly in the early stages of the outb.....
Document: Using the inferred serial interval distribution, we analysed the time series data using R 23 and the EpiEstim 24-26 library to estimate the time varying reproduction numbers between the 11th March until the 9th April, with the underlying assumption that there is negligible mixing of populations between each geographical area. The validity of this assumption decreases as we consider smaller geographies, particularly in the early stages of the outbreak before unnecessary travel was restricted.
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