Author: Willem G Odendaal
Title: Method for Active Pandemic Curve Management (MAPCM) Document date: 2020_4_13
ID: a6ldr0mn_101
Snippet: The plot uses R o = 1.22, a reproductive number for the US after the disease entered community spread mode and before mitigation strategies were implemented. Confirmed cases surged as more and more testing was being performed in March. The earlier parts of the lines can be ignored. The response changed as of 3/29/2020 when the mitigation measures initiated by the White House and the states started to manifest in the cases being reported. As a res.....
Document: The plot uses R o = 1.22, a reproductive number for the US after the disease entered community spread mode and before mitigation strategies were implemented. Confirmed cases surged as more and more testing was being performed in March. The earlier parts of the lines can be ignored. The response changed as of 3/29/2020 when the mitigation measures initiated by the White House and the states started to manifest in the cases being reported. As a result all the curves have sharp inflections as they take on a lower reproductive number R o = 1.12 at some point after the measures were announced.
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