Selected article for: "China report and cumulative number"

Author: ibrahim Halil Aslan; Mahir Demir; Michael Morgan Wise; Suzanne Lenhart
Title: Modeling COVID-19: Forecasting and analyzing the dynamics of the outbreak in Hubei and Turkey
  • Document date: 2020_4_15
  • ID: fsjze3t2_30
    Snippet: The simulation results obtained for the cumulative number of (infected) cases C and cumulative deaths D by fitting the model with the data from January 20, 2020 to March 23, 2020 are depicted in Figure 2 . These figures show a reasonably good fit with the total relative error 0.06 (6%). Most of the error comes from the fit of cumulative cases, especially around February 12, 2020. In February, China began to report clinically diagnosed cases in ad.....
    Document: The simulation results obtained for the cumulative number of (infected) cases C and cumulative deaths D by fitting the model with the data from January 20, 2020 to March 23, 2020 are depicted in Figure 2 . These figures show a reasonably good fit with the total relative error 0.06 (6%). Most of the error comes from the fit of cumulative cases, especially around February 12, 2020. In February, China began to report clinically diagnosed cases in addition to laboratory-confirmed cases, and on February 12, 2020, 13,332 clinically (rather than laboratory) cases reported even though they were diagnosed in the preceding days and weeks. Due to the very small number of cases reported after March 23, 2020, we chose to fit the model using only data from before this date. Table 1 ).

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