Selected article for: "growth rate and Italy growth rate"

Author: Andreas Eilersen; Kim Sneppen
Title: Estimating cost-benefit of quarantine length for Covid-19 mitigation
  • Document date: 2020_4_14
  • ID: b8a78ym6_17
    Snippet: Finally, the transmission rate for the disease is estimated from an observed rate of increase of 23 % per day in fatalities in the USA. This also fits the observation of a growth rate of ICU admissions of about 22.5 % per day in Italy 18 . With our parameters this is reproduced by a infection rate of 1 person per day per infected and a basic reproduction number R 0 ∼ 5 (as we allow transmission in both directions when selecting two people, this.....
    Document: Finally, the transmission rate for the disease is estimated from an observed rate of increase of 23 % per day in fatalities in the USA. This also fits the observation of a growth rate of ICU admissions of about 22.5 % per day in Italy 18 . With our parameters this is reproduced by a infection rate of 1 person per day per infected and a basic reproduction number R 0 ∼ 5 (as we allow transmission in both directions when selecting two people, this is simulated by a rate for transmission of 0.5 per day per encounter). Li et al. 10 in contrast estimate R 0 at 2.2 based on a growth rate of 10 % per day in confirmed Corona cases in Wuhan prior to Jan. 4 .

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