Author: Renato Machado Cotta; Carolina Palma Naveira-Cotta; pierre magal
Title: Modelling the COVID-19 epidemics in Brasil: Parametric identification and public health measures influence Document date: 2020_4_3
ID: 3rmrkzuq_45
Snippet: In the absence of more informative priors, uniform distributions were employed for all three parameters under estimation. Table 1 presents the prior information and the initial guesses for the parameters. If the initial guesses were used to predict the CR(t) behavior, an over-estimation of the accumulated reported infected individuals would occur, especially in the long term, as can be noticed in Figure 1 , confirming the need for a proper parame.....
Document: In the absence of more informative priors, uniform distributions were employed for all three parameters under estimation. Table 1 presents the prior information and the initial guesses for the parameters. If the initial guesses were used to predict the CR(t) behavior, an over-estimation of the accumulated reported infected individuals would occur, especially in the long term, as can be noticed in Figure 1 , confirming the need for a proper parameter estimation. Table 1 -Prior distributions and initial guesses for the parameters to be estimated 0 , , and 0 (China). the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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