Selected article for: "exceedance duration and ICU bed"
Author: Robert Moss; James Wood; Damien Brown; Freya Shearer; Andrew J Black; Allen Cheng; James M McCaw; Jodie McVernon
Title: Modelling the impact of COVID-19 in Australia to inform transmission reducing measures and health system preparedness
  • Document date: 2020_4_11
    • ID: emodr41j_27
    Snippet: The overlay of distancing measures, applied from the initial stages of the epidemic and maintained throughout, suppresses epidemic growth to a level that is within the range of plausible ICU capacity expansion. The duration of ICU exceedance remains long in the 25% case ( Figure 5A ) but this overflow occurs to a far lesser degree than following case targeted strategies only ( Figure 5B ). As anticipated, a greater reduction in transmission (33%).....
    Document: The overlay of distancing measures, applied from the initial stages of the epidemic and maintained throughout, suppresses epidemic growth to a level that is within the range of plausible ICU capacity expansion. The duration of ICU exceedance remains long in the 25% case ( Figure 5A ) but this overflow occurs to a far lesser degree than following case targeted strategies only ( Figure 5B ). As anticipated, a greater reduction in transmission (33%) achieves greater benefits. Importantly, pressure on ED consultations and ward beds is also substantially eased in these scenarios, maintaining capacity along the full pathway of care. As a result, the proportion of critical cases that can access care is greatly increased. Transmission reduction of 33% makes treatment of all cases achievable in the majority of simulations if three to fivefold ICU bed capacity can be achieved (Supplementary figure 1B) . This improvement is reflected in a large reduction in unmet need (Supplementary figure 2B) .

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • bed capacity and care access: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
    • bed capacity and critical case: 1
    • bed capacity and epidemic growth: 1
    • bed capacity and ICU bed capacity: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • capacity expansion and care access: 1
    • capacity expansion and care pathway: 1, 2
    • capacity expansion and care pathway capacity: 1
    • capacity expansion and ICU bed capacity: 1
    • care access and critical case: 1, 2, 3
    • care access and ED consultation: 1, 2, 3
    • care access and epidemic growth: 1
    • critical case and epidemic growth: 1
    • critical case and ICU bed capacity: 1