A Comprehensive Analysis of COVID-19 Outbreak situation in India

Rajan Gupta; Saibal Kumar Pal; Gaurav Pandey

During the lockdown period, there were two mass events reported in India. One was related to the exodus of the laborers to their respective states in India [23] and the other was a religious event which happened in New Delhi at a mass level [24] . There are around 25% citizens living below poverty line and have to depend on the daily wages to feed their families. Once the lockdown was announced, the fate of these 1.3 billion people was under scanner and that is why even the Government of India came up with a package of more than 22 billion USD to help these workers and laborers. All the respective state governments also came up with the different infrastructural setup for providing food and money to the needy citizens. Some agencies reported that in providing food security, India and the neighboring nations depending on India may fall short of food [25] while the others reported loss of millions of job [26] during the lockdown due to such mass exodus. However, the numbers of infected cases were not impacted much by this mass movement as majority of workers were not carrying any infection with them during their movements from their workplaces regions to their native place region. But there was a serious impact seen on infected cases due to conduction of a religious event in Delhi. As seen from Figure 6 , the average number of days to double the infected cases from corona virus without any cluster event was estimated to be 7.1 as per the health ministry, while it was 4.1 after Delhi's religious event took place [27] . This event resulted in for- is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.