Author: Meng-Chun Chang; Rebecca Kahn; Yu-An Li; Cheng-Sheng Lee; Caroline O Buckee; Hsiao-Han Chang
Title: Modeling the impact of human mobility and travel restrictions on the potential spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Taiwan Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: 7vh5ipro_32
Snippet: We also examined the impact of different lengths of travel reductions (Figure 4 ). The probability of having more than 1000 infections decreased when the duration of intracity travel reduction increased in both models, while it did not change with the duration of intercity travel reduction. The results also suggest that higher levels of reduction and longer periods of reduction for intracity travel can have similar impacts. For example, a 60% int.....
Document: We also examined the impact of different lengths of travel reductions (Figure 4 ). The probability of having more than 1000 infections decreased when the duration of intracity travel reduction increased in both models, while it did not change with the duration of intercity travel reduction. The results also suggest that higher levels of reduction and longer periods of reduction for intracity travel can have similar impacts. For example, a 60% intracity travel reduction for 2 months had similar outcomes as a 70% reduction for 1 month. While P1000,3 did not change with the length of intercity travel reduction, longer intercity travel reduction led to slower progression of the outbreak (higher T1000, 3 ) in the contact model and more clustered infections (higher V1000, 3) . CC-BY 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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