Selected article for: "outbreak size and population size"
Author: Haoyang Sun; Borame Lee Dickens; Mark Chen; Alex Richard Cook; Hannah Eleanor Clapham
Title: Estimating number of global importations of COVID-19 from Wuhan, risk of transmission outside mainland China and COVID-19 introduction index between countries outside mainland China
  • Document date: 2020_2_20
    • ID: 2w3bx6p8_27
    Snippet: For each recipient country outside mainland China , we derived a COVID-19 introduction index → (on a relative scale) that ranks potential donor countries in terms of their viral exportation potential. This was expressed as the product of the probability of travelling from a potential donor country to a recipient country in February, and the local outbreak risk , where the total population size in each potential donor country ( ) was based on th.....
    Document: For each recipient country outside mainland China , we derived a COVID-19 introduction index → (on a relative scale) that ranks potential donor countries in terms of their viral exportation potential. This was expressed as the product of the probability of travelling from a potential donor country to a recipient country in February, and the local outbreak risk , where the total population size in each potential donor country ( ) was based on the data published by the Socioeconomic Data and Applications Centre 17 . In addition, we also derived the total COVID-19 introduction index estimate for each recipient country ( •→ ) by summing over all the potential donor countries :

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