Author: Song-Kyoo Kim
Title: AAEDM: Theoretical Dynamic Epidemic Diffusion Model and Covid-19 Korea Pandemic Cases Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: jf36as70_48
Snippet: The comparison result is shown in Figure 5 and the accuracy of the theoretical model is 0.8676 ( 87 %) which is not that bad to get the expected values directly from  theoretical formula. The future prediction starts at the end of the observation period and the parameters are adjusted based on the real data. The period of the prediction is the next 10 days from March 2nd to 12th. The predicted values have been compared with the actual data aft.....
Document: The comparison result is shown in Figure 5 and the accuracy of the theoretical model is 0.8676 ( 87 %) which is not that bad to get the expected values directly from  theoretical formula. The future prediction starts at the end of the observation period and the parameters are adjusted based on the real data. The period of the prediction is the next 10 days from March 2nd to 12th. The predicted values have been compared with the actual data after passing 10 days and the accuracy is around 83% (see Figure 6 ). is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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